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I do not like any plays for today and tomorrow I'm on vacation, so I am taking the next 3 weeks off.

Last picks: Braves vs. Phillies under 7 runs = LOSS (14-1 final score)       Record: 19-10
                    Mariners vs. Angels under 6 runs =  PUSH (4-2 final score)


No plays today as I have no opinion about the Home Run Derby. Check back in tomorrow for a possible play on the All Star Game.

Mariners (Hernandez) vs. Angels (Haren) UNDER 6 RUNS

Felix Hernandez has a 3.22 ERA on the season. He has been fairly consistent this season, allowing 3 runs or less in 7 out of his last 10 starts. Pitching on the road in Anaheim today should be fun for him, as he is confident and excels during his road starts. He has allowed 1 run in 3 out of his last 5 road starts. He also has a good 2.66 ERA in his last 3 starts and has pitched well against the Angels hitters. For the players that have seen Hernandez in more than 10 at-bats, he has kept 6 under a .300 average and 2 over that number. Dan Haren has allowed 3 earned runs or less in 8 out of his last 10 starts and has been very good as of late. He has a 1.21 ERA in his last 3 starts, and has not allowed a run in 16.1 innings, spanning his last two home starts vs. the Nationals and Tigers. In those 16.1 innings he allowed only 4 hits. Haren also is a better starter in the daylight, where he is 4-0 with a 1.59 ERA, compared to 5-5 with a 3.52 ERA in starts at night. Lastly, he has a 2.56 ERA in 105.2 innings pitched against the Mariners. BET UNDER 6

Last pick: Twins vs. White Sox under 8.5 runs = WIN (4-3 final score)       Record: 19-9


Braves (Lowe) vs. Phillies (Hamels) UNDER 7 RUNS

Derek Lowe has an average 4.21 ERA on the season, but I still think he has a solid start in Philly today. He has allowed 3 earned runs or less in 7 out of his last 10 starts and is a good pitcher on the road. He threw a shutout in 6.2 innings in Florida and in his last road start he allowed only 1 run in 6 innings to the Mariners. But I think he does good today because he has done very well against the Phillies, in the past 10 years and this season. He has a 2.90 ERA in 102.1 innings pitched against them and pitched a combined 13 innings against them this season allowing a total of only 2 runs. In his start in Philly (like today) he went 6 innings, allowed 2 hits and no runs. In addition to this, the Phillies have had struggles throughout the season to score runs. Cole Hamels has a very good 2.40 ERA on the season and he has been consistently awesome. He has allowed 3 runs or less in each of his last 10 starts and allowed 2 runs or less in 9 of them. He has thrown 2 scoreless starts against the Red Sox and Dodgers, both at home. He has an excellent 1.80 ERA in his last 3 starts and has done fairly well against the Braves, pitching 131.2 innings with a 3.83 ERA. Like the Phillies, the Braves can have troubles scoring some runs. The last three games of this series has stayed under the posted number today and this one will make it 4 in a row. BET UNDER 7

Last pick: A's vs. Rangers under 8.5 runs = LOSS (8-5 final score)       Record: 18-9


Twins (Duensing) vs. White Sox (Buehrle) UNDER 8.5 RUNS

Brian Duensing has a pretty bad 4.25 ERA on the season, but he has been much better as of late. He has a very good 2.18 ERA in his last 3 starts and he is a better pitcher on the road, with a 3.91 ERA. His last 6 starts have been much better, as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 5 of them. He has been very good in his last 2 road starts, pitching a combined 14.2 innings and allowing a total of 1 run against the Royals and Giants. In his last start, he pitched a complete game shutout allowing only 6 hits to the Rays, so he is coming off an excellent start with confidence. Lastly, he has a 2.50 ERA against the White Sox in 36 innings pitched against them. Mark Buehrle has a decent 3.66 ERA on the season, but he too has been slightly better as late, with a 3.26 ERA in his last 3 starts. He is a better pitcher at home, with a 2.83 ERA. He has also allowed no more than 3 runs in any of his last 10 starts. He has pitched 310.1 innings (WOW) against the Twins and has an average 4.03 ERA, but in his last start against them on 6/16 he pitched 7 innings and allowed only 1 run. The Twins are still missing some valuable bats in the line-up, as Span, Morneau, Kubel and Young are all not going to be playing this afternoon.

Last picks: Rays vs. Yankees under 9.5 runs = WIN (5-1 final score)       Record: 18-8
                    Twins vs. White Sox under 8 runs = PUSH (6-2 final score)
                    Mariners vs. Angels under 6 runs = PUSH (5-1 final score)

*Note: I have received some suggestions to continue to write the usual explanations, so originally I was going to stop writing them, but I have decided to continue with them. Thanks to my followers for giving suggestions and I encourage you to continue to give any suggestions/opinions you may have in the future.

 Athletics (Gonzalez) vs. Rangers (Wilson) UNDER 8.5 RUNS

Gio Gonzalez has a good 2.31 ERA on the season and a 2.66 road ERA. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 9 out of his last 10 starts and has also thrown 2 scoreless starts in his last 10. For whatever reason, there is a noticeable difference when Gonzalez pitches at night and when he starts during the day. In the daylight, he has a 2.96 ERA, but when the stadium lights are on, like how they will be tonight, he has a better 1.85 ERA. Gonzalez also has an impressive 0.82 ERA in his last 3 starts. Finally, in 45.1 innings pitched against the Rangers, Gonzalez has a 2.18 ERA. C.J. Wilson has a 3.10 ERA on the season and a 3.51 ERA when he pitches at home. He has also allowed 3 runs or less in 9 out of his last 10 starts. He has a good 3.43 ERA in his last 3 starts and gets to face an A's lineup that has struggled to score runs for most of this season. Both pitchers are coming into this game with confidence, pitching well in their last starts and knowing they are going to the All Star Game. BET UNDER 8.5

Last pick: Mets vs. Dodgers under 7 runs = LOSS (5-3 final score)       Record: 17-8

Sorry for the late plays today, I have been having internet problems. Too busy for explanations today, but here are the plays just listed:

Rays (Niemann) vs. Yankees (Colon) UNDER 9.5 RUNS
Twins (Pavano) vs. White Sox (Humber) UNDER 8 RUNS
Mariners (Fister) vs. Angels (Weaver) UNDER 6 RUNS

Last picks: Astros vs. Pirates under 7 runs = WIN (5-1 final score)       Record: 17-7
                    Rays vs. Twins under 7 runs = WIN (3-2 final score)
                    Padres vs. Giants under 6 runs = LOSS (5-3 final score)


Mets (Niese) vs. Dodgers (Kuroda) UNDER 7 RUNS

Jonathon Niese has a 3.72 ERA for the season and a very good 2.59 ERA in his last nine starts. He has allowed 2 runs or less in 7 out of his last 10 starts overall and in each of his last 3 road starts. He is a better pitcher on the road as of late, posting a 2.29 ERA in his last 3 road starts against the pretty tough lineups of the Brewers, Braves and Rangers. I look for him to have a solid start against a Dodgers lineup that has had major trouble scoring run lately. To add to that, both Either and Miles are questionable for this game. Hiroki Kuroda has a good 2.90 ERA for the season and a ERA under 1 in his last 3 starts, sitting currently at 0.95. He has thrown 4 shutouts in his last 10 starts overall and has thrown 2 of them in his last 3 starts. 2 of the shutouts came at home, where he will be pitching tonight. He also has allowed 2 runs or less in 4 out of his last 5 home starts. In his last start he threw 7 shutout innings against the Angels allowing only 3 hits, so he is confident coming into this start. Also, the Mets most important player, Jose Reyes will probably not play tonight. Jason Bay, who was key yesterday, is 1-6 off Kuroda and Angel Pagan is even worse, only 1-8 off the Dodger pitcher. BET UNDER 7

Padres (Stauffer) vs. Giants (Cain) UNDER 6 RUNS

Tim Stauffer has a 2.97 ERA on the season and has allowed 2 runs or less in each of his last 5 starts, good for a 1.71 ERA in his last 3 starts. In his last 14 innings pitched on the road, he has allowed a combined 2 earned runs, pitching at the Twins and at the Nationals. He has really started to turn things around at the beginning of June and has been red hot. He also has a good 3.19 ERA in 36.2 innings pitched against the Giants. Matt Cain has a 3.02 ERA for the season and has allowed 3 runs or less in 7 out of his last 10 starts. Like Stauffer, he too has pitched much better lately. In his last 3 home starts, he has pitched a combined 23 innings and allowed a total of 2 runs against the Indians, Nationals and Rockies. He also has pitched 14 scoreless innings in his last 2 starts, at home vs. the Indians and on the road at the Cubs. He has a miniscule 0.43 ERA in his last 3 starts. In the many innings pitched against the Padres (139), he has a 3.43 ERA against them. The posted number for the total is low, but both pitchers have been extremely hot, both lineups have had their struggles this season and both teams have above average bullpens. BET UNDER 6

Rays (Shields) vs. Twins (Baker) UNDER 7 RUNS

James Shields has a 2.45 ERA on the season and has been having a breakout season. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 8 out of his last 10 starts overall and has also thrown 3 complete games allowing 0 earned runs. His ERA in his last 3 starts is at a very good 1.80. Shields has shown the ability to bounce back strong after a non-quality start. In his last start he allowed 4 runs to the Reds in 7 innings, so I expect a much better start this time out on the road where he is 5-1 with a 2.93 ERA in 8 road starts. I think his stuff is too good for him to suffer two sub par starts in a row. Scott Baker has a good 3.15 ERA on the season and a 1.64 ERA in his last 3 starts. There is quite a difference when Baker pitches at home and on the road. On the road he has allowed at least 3 runs in each of his last 5 starts. But at home in his last 4 starts, he has thrown 3 shutouts and allowed 1 run to the Rangers in a complete game, which is amazing. He also has a 2.88 ERA in 40.2 innings pitched against the Rays. BET UNDER 7

Astros (Rodriguez) vs. Pirates (Karstens) UNDER 7 RUNS

Wandy Rodriguez has a 2.97 ERA on the season and has been on fire since coming off the disabled list in mid June. In his first four starts back, he has thrown three shutouts and has a 2.37 ERA in his last 3 starts. Furthermore, he had been pitching well even before his injury, throwing 5 shutouts in his 10 starts overall and allowing more than 3 runs only twice in those ten starts. He has lots of confidence pitching now when he is healthy and he faces a Pirates team that he is 4-0 with a 1.19 ERA in his last 4 starts against them. Jeff Karstens has a 2.65 ERA for the season and he too has been great as of late. He has been very consistent, allowing 3 runs or less in each of his last 10 starts and 2 runs or less in 9 of them. He also has a 2.61 ERA in his last 3 starts. One last quick fact about Karstens, is that he struggles in day games, with a 4.06 ERA. But today's game will be played at night under the lights, where he is 4-0 with a 1.84 ERA. BET UNDER 7

Last pick: Diamondbacks vs. Athletics under 6.5 runs = LOSS (7-2 final score)       Record: 15-6


No plays today as I am busy and there are not any games I really like, check back in tomorrow.

Last picks: Pirates vs. Nationals (Game 1) under 8 runs = PUSH (5-3 final score)       Record: 15-5
                 Diamondbacks vs. Athletics under 7.5 runs = WIN (4-2 final score)


Diamondbacks (Kennedy) vs. Athletics (Gonzalez) UNDER 6.5 RUNS

Ian Kennedy has a good 3.01 ERA on the season, but has a lower 2.28 ERA on the road. He has allowed one run or less in 4 out of his last 5 road starts. In his last interleague start on the road this season, he limited the Royals to one run over 6 innings. He also has a fantastic 2.05 ERA in his last 3 starts and will be going up against an A's lineup that does not score very many runs at all. Gio Gonzalez has a 2.38 ERA for the season, but a 2.17 ERA at home. Another thing to mention is that he has a 0.78 ERA in his last 5 interleague starts, so he dominates the National League teams. He has also allowed 3 runs or less in 9 out of his last 10 starts overall and has thrown two 1-hit shutouts in his last 10 starts, both of them at home vs. the Angels in 7 innings and vs. the Marlins in 8 innings. The Marlins shutout was in his last start, so he is confident coming into this start, knowing he is at home and vs. a National League opponent. Gonzalez has a 1.29 ERA in his last 3 starts. If the game yesterday in this series stayed under 6.5 runs with Saunders and Outman pitching, I do not see how this game goes over that number. I think we see a low scoring pitcher's duel this afternoon. BET UNDER 6.5

Diamondbacks (Saunders) vs. Athletics (Outman) UNDER 7.5 RUNS

Joe Saunders might have a 4.14 ERA on the season but he has been much better as of late. He holds a 2.57 ERA in his last 3 starts and two of those starts came on the road, both against American League teams. He held the Tigers to just one run in 7 innings and the Royals to 2 runs in 7 innings as well. I think both the Tigers and Royals have better lineups than the A's, so Saunders should have a good start. He also has had success vs. the A's in the past having a 3.50 ERA against them in 103 innings pitched. Another thing to mention is that except for Matsui who has one hit in one at-bat vs. Saunders, the rest of the A's batters do not have an average of .300 or better against him (there are 5 different A's who have more than 10 at-bats against him, so they have seen him a lot, without too much success). Josh Outman has a good 3.10 ERA this season and while he has only started 7 games this season, I think he is a solid pitcher. He has a 2-0 record with a great 1.38 ERA at home in his only two starts there vs. the Orioles and Royals. His ERA in his last 3 starts is a spectacular 1.89 and two of those starts came on the road. The A's have also have a decent bullpen, should Outman need some help tonight. BET UNDER 7.5

Last picks: Giants vs. Tigers under 8.5 runs = WIN (4-3 final score)       Record: 14-5
                 Indians vs. Reds under 9 runs = LOSS (8-2 final score)


Pirates (McDonald) vs. Nationals (Lannan) UNDER 8 RUNS (Game 1 of the doubleheader)

James McDonald has a pretty bad ERA of 4.52 on the season, but has done much better as of late with a 3.31 ERA in his last 3 starts. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 9 out of his last 10 starts overall and has allowed one run in 2 out of his last 4 road starts. He limited the Mets and Reds to just one run in 6 and 6.2 innings respectively. He is also coming off a start vs. the Red Sox where he allowed 0 earned runs, so he has confidence coming into this game. I look for him to have a solid start and the Pirate's bullpen should be able to pitch a few innings to close the game. John Lannan has a good 3.48 ERA on the season, but he has an excellent ERA of 1.81 in home starts this season. He has allowed 2 runs or less in 8 out of his last 10 starts overall and in each of his last 5 home starts. He has also thrown two starts where he allowed 0 earned runs at home vs. the Phillies and Padres. In his last 12.2 innings pitched at home, he has allowed only 3 earned runs vs. the Mariners and Cardinals combined, so he has been good of late, evident by his 2.95 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Nats also have a good bullpen if Lannan needs some help later in the game. BET UNDER 8

Indians (Masterson) vs. Reds (Arroyo) UNDER 9 RUNS

Justin Masterson has a good 2.98 ERA on the season and a lower ERA on the road, currently at 2.58. He has allowed 2 earned runs or less in 7 out of his last 10 starts overall and in 4 out of his last 5 road starts. He is coming off a very good start his last time out, allowing 0 earned runs in a road start in San Francisco vs. the Giants. He has a solid 2.00 ERA in his last 3 starts and look for him to excel in Cincinnati. Bronson Arroyo has a high 5.01 ERA on the season and that drops slightly to 4.53 when he pitches at home. I would rather ignore those numbers and look at his most recent home starts, where he has done well. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 4 out of his last 5 home starts, including his last home start which was a 1 run, 5 hit, 8 inning performance vs. the Blue Jays. He has recovered from bad road starts in the past, especially on 6/3 where he pitched 6 innings and allowed 1 runs vs. the Dodgers after allowing 5 runs in 3 innings in Atlanta. His last road start was in Baltimore where he allowed 5 runs in 6.1 innings, but look for him to recover tonight at home. Another thing to mention is that he has a decent 3.61 ERA vs. the Indians in 47.1 innings pitched against them. The posted total for this game is pretty high and these pitchers are good enough to have a low scoring game. BET UNDER 9

Last pick: Red Sox vs. Phillies under 7 runs = PUSH (5-2 final score)       Record: 13-4


Giants (Bumgarner) vs. Tigers (Penny) UNDER 8.5 RUNS

Madison Bumgarner has an average ERA of 3.84 on the season thus far, with a better 2.86 ERA during his road starts. Except from one nightmare start at home vs. the Twins where he allowed 8 runs, he has allowed 3 runs or less in his last 9 starts. He has allowed 2 runs or less in 3 out of his last 4 road starts. He is coming off a good start vs. the Indians where he allowed only 1 run in 7 innings, so he is confident coming into this start. Brad Penny has a pretty bad 4.66 ERA on the season, but I think he still comes with a strong start tonight. He has a much lower 3.28 ERA at home. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 7 out of his last 10 starts and has pitched two starts where he allowed 0 earned runs, both at home vs. the Royals and Yankees. He has been good so far vs. the National League this season, pitching 12.2 innings vs. the Dodgers and Diamondbacks and allowed only 4 runs total. Lastly, the Giants have had some trouble scoring runs lately and Penny has a 3.05 ERA against them in 115 innings pitched. BET UNDER 8.5

Red Sox (Lester) vs. Phillies (Hamels) UNDER 7 RUNS

Jon Lester has an average 3.66 ERA for this season, but a better 3.11 ERA when he pitches on the road. He has allowed 3 runs or less in each of his last 4 starts and has a good 2.45 ERA in his last 3 starts. I think he will be very motivated to go pitch a good game, so his team does not get swept by the Phillies today. He also has had good success against the Phillies posting a remarkable 0.64 ERA in 14 innings pitched against them. The only batter in the Phillies lineup that has hit Lester well is Ibanez who is 4-9, but other than that Ryan Howard and Chase Utley are hit less in 6 at-bats and Jimmy Rollins only has one hit in 5 at-bats. Cole Hamels has a good 2.49 ERA for the season and a 2.73 ERA during his home starts. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 9 out of his last 10 starts. He has also been good as of late, posting a 1.45 ERA in the month of June. The Red Sox have had some trouble scoring runs lately and Hamels has dominated them in the past, with a 1.71 ERA in 21 innings pitched against them. The first two games of this series had a combined 5 and 3 runs total and this one is low scoring also. BET UNDER 7

Last picks: Red Sox vs. Phillies under 7 runs = WIN (5-0 final score)       Record: 13-4
                    Reds vs. Rays under 7 runs = PUSH (4-3 final score)
                    Braves vs. Mariners under 6 runs = LOSS (5-4 final score)


There will be no play today because there are not any games that I really like. The next play(s) will probably be coming tomorrow, depending on the teams and pitching match-ups. Also, I just wanted to add a quick announcement. I will be making my plays earlier than before, at least 3 hours before the respective game starts, except for the early games, as I am not a morning person. And don't forgot to bookmark the page if you are interested and make sure to check back. Lastly, I just want to say thank you to my followers so far and I hope I can continue this successful winning streak.

Braves (Hanson) vs. Mariners (Pineda) UNDER 6 RUNS (Pick #3 for the day)

Tommy Hanson has a 2.48 ERA this season and a 2.57 ERA when he pitches on the road. He is coming off a shoulder injury, but has been pain free, so we should see him be his old self. He has thrown 2 scoreless starts out of his last 10 and has allowed 2 runs or less in 9 of them. He has allowed just one run combined over his last 13 innings on the road at the Astros and Marlins. He also has a 1.42 ERA in his last 3 starts and should be able to dominate this relatively weak Mariners lineup. Michael Pineda has a 2.45 ERA and that drops to 1.99 when he pitches at home. He has thrown 3 scoreless starts out of his last 10, with one of them coming at home vs. the Twins. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 9 out of his last 10 starts. He also has a good 2.95 ERA in his last 3 starts and comes into this start having a 0.69 ERA against the National League after two starts against NL teams, the Phillies and Nationals. I look for him to continue his strong season vs. the Braves tonight. BET UNDER 6

Reds (Cueto) vs. Rays (Price) UNDER 7 RUNS (Pick #2 for the day)

Johnny Cueto has a 1.63 ERA for the season and a 1.32 ERA during his road starts. He has allowed 3 runs or less in all 9 of his starts this season and has thrown 3 shutouts on the road. He also has an extremely low ERA of 0.43 in his last 3 starts. He has become the ace of the Reds pitching staff this season. He is facing a Rays team that struggles to score runs at home, evident by being shutout yesterday against the Reds. David Price has a good 3.51 ERA this season and a slightly lower 3.40 ERA during his home starts. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 7 out of his last 10 starts overall and has thrown 2 home shutouts in his last 10 starts vs. the Blue Jays and Indians. It seems he struggles at home vs. the very tough lineups of the American League. He gave up 3 runs in just 5 innings vs. the Red Sox, 3 runs in 8 innings vs. the Rangers and 5 runs in 5 innings vs. the Yankees. But then against what I would call the "average" lineups, he did very well. Allowing 0 earned runs in 8.2 innings vs. the Blue Jays and 0 earned vs. the Indians over 7 innings. I would consider the Rays a more "average" lineup, so I expect Price to have a strong outing tonight. BET UNDER 7

Braves vs. Mariners under 6.5 runs = WIN (3-1 final score)       Record: 12-3


Red Sox (Beckett) vs. Phillies (Lee) UNDER 7 RUNS

Josh Beckett has an incredible 1.86 ERA for this season and a slightly higher 2.35 ERA during his road starts. He has thrown 4 scoreless starts out of his last 10, including his last start at the Rays which was a complete game shutout where he allowed one hit. He has allowed 3 runs or less in each of his last 9 starts and 2 runs or less in 8 of them. He also has a 2.05 ERA in his last 3 starts and a ERA under 4 lifetime vs. the Phillies. Even though his start at the Rays was almost 2 weeks ago, I think he comes back strong. He was not injured, he was just sick, so it should not effect his pitching.Cliff Lee has a 2.87 ERA for the season and a 1.88 ERA at home. He also has pitched 4 scoreless starts out of his last 10 and has allowed 3 runs or fewer in 8 of them. He has thrown 3 shutouts in his last 4 starts, including a 7 inning shutout against the Dodgers and a complete game shutout vs. the Marlins, both at home. In his last 3 starts he has a ERA of 0.35, which is just ridiculous. BET UNDER 7

 Last pick: Athletics vs. Phillies under 7 runs = WIN (3-1 final score)       Record: 11-3

Braves (Beachy) vs. Mariners (Bedard) UNDER 6.5

Brandon Beachy has a good 3.22 ERA on the season and a much better 1.50 ERA during his road starts. Even though he has missed a large part of the season and has started only 9 games, I still think Beachy can pitch well tonight in Seattle as he is a good strikeout pitcher. In his 9 starts, he pitched 2 scoreless starts and has allowed 2 runs or less in 6 of them. He has only pitched three road starts, but he has done very well in all of them, allowing 1,0 and 2 runs to the Brewers, Dodgers and Giants respectively pitching 6 innings in all three of those starts. Also, in his last start, which was his first start back from the disabled list, he pitched well allowing 1 run vs. the Blue Jays, so it looks like he is completely healthy and in good condition after his oblique injury. Erik Bedard has an impressive 2.93 ERA on the season and that rises a little to 3.70 during his home starts. I don't really care if his home ERA is not spectacular because Bedard is locked in right now, he has not allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 10 starts, and has allowed 2 runs or less in 9 of them. He also has pitched 4 scoreless starts out of his last 10, including one at home vs. the Angels, in his most recent home start. He has an amazing 1.00 ERA in his last 3 starts and has pitched 3 scoreless innings vs. the Braves in his career. Both pitchers are good and both lineups have struggled to score runs recently, so I look for this to be a pitcher's duel. BET UNDER 6.5

Last pick: Indians vs. Giants under 6.5 runs = WIN (1-0 final score)       Record: 10-3


Athletics (Outman) vs. Phillies (Halladay) UNDER 7 RUNS

Josh Outman has a 2.86 ERA on the season and a 3.74 ERA during his road starts. His ERA on the road is only that high because of one bad start he had in Boston, when the tough Red Sox hitters scored 4 runs off of him in not even 3 innings. Other than that start, he allowed 3,1,1 runs in his 3 road starts. He also has a ERA of 1.89 in his last 3 starts and has given up just one run in his last 13 innings pitched. The Phillies have had some trouble scoring runs, as they have only scored 1 run in each of the first two games of this series. Roy Halladay has a ERA of 2.51 on the season and 2.64 at home. He has been consistent, allowing 3 runs or less in 8 out of his last 10 starts. Halladay has also allowed 2 runs or less in 3 out of his last 5 home starts and has a 2.25 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Athletics do not have a very good lineup, so I expect Halladay to have a strong start today. BET UNDER 7

Last picks: Rays vs. Astros under 7 runs = WIN (5-1 final score)       Record: 9-3
                 Indians vs. Giants under 7 runs = PUSH (4-3 final score)


Indians (Masterson) vs. Giants (Cain) UNDER 6.5 RUNS

Justin Masterson has a 3.18 ERA on the season and an even better 3.03 ERA during his road starts. His ERA in his last 3 starts is even better than those numbers, currently sitting at 2.79. He has allowed 2 runs or less in 3 out of his last 4 road starts. He has been fairly consistent and I expect him to have a quality start today. Matt Cain has a 3.44 ERA for the season, but he excels at home, evident by his 2.68 ERA during his home starts. His ERA through his last 3 starts is also solid sitting at 2.78 right now. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 4 out of his last 5 home starts. He is showing signs of improving lately, allowing only 1 run in 3 out of his last 4 starts overall, with two of the starts coming at home. BET UNDER 6.5

Indians (Carrasco) vs. Giants (Sanchez) UNDER 7 RUNS (Pick #2 for the day)

Carlos Carrasco has an average 3.87 ERA for the season, but he has been on fire lately, with a 0.42 ERA in his last 3 starts, including taking a no hitter through 5 innings in his last start. He also has been a better pitcher on the road, sporting a 2.88 ERA there. He has allowed 3 runs or less in his last 5 road starts and has allowed 2 runs or less in 4 of them. And this came against tough lineups like the Yankees, Rays and Twins. The Giants have had some troubles scoring runs this season and they will have a difficult job of doing that tonight. Jonathan Sanchez also has a pretty average ERA of 3.71 for the season. At home that number is even better, at 3.23. He has allowed 3 runs or fewer in his last 4 home starts. Even though Sanchez walks a lot of batters, he is better at home and I expect him to do good against this Indians lineup. He has already faced them once before and pitched 7.2 innings and allowed only 1 run, good for a lifetime ERA of 1.17 against them. BET UNDER 7

Last pick: Diamondbacks vs. Royals under 8.5 runs = WIN (5-3 final score)       Record: 8-3


Rays (Shields) vs. Astros (Rodriguez) UNDER 7 RUNS

James Shields has a spectacular 2.40 ERA for the season and that is slightly higher at 3.28 on the road. He has a 3.10 ERA in June and a 1.08 ERA in his last 3 starts. He has pitched 3 scoreless starts out of his last 10 and has allowed 3 runs or less in 9 of them. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 4 out of his last 5 road starts. His confidence level is high coming into Houston, with the Astros not scoring very many runs and the Rays having a strong bullpen. Wandy Rodriguez has a 2.88 ERA on the season, a 2.45 ERA at home and a 1.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. He has pitched 4 scoreless starts out of his last 10 and allowed 3 runs or less in 8 of them. Since he came off the disabled list, he has thrown 6 scoreless innings against the Dodgers and Braves. It looks like he is 100% healthy now and is able to pitch much better and more consistent than before. BET UNDER 7

Last pick: Angels vs. Marlins under 6.5 runs = WIN (2-1 final score)       Record: 7-3


Diamondbacks (Hudson) vs. Royals (Paulino) UNDER 8.5 RUNS

Daniel Hudson has a good 3.56 ERA for the season and his ERA is a little worse on the road at 4.09. These numbers might not seem too good, but Hudson has been on fire as of late. He has a 1.23 ERA in his last three starts, all appearances where he allowed one run, including his last start against the White Sox which was a complete game. He has been more consistent as of late and I think he has found his groove. Felipe Paulino has an average 4.10 ERA for the season, but that drops to a respectable 3.50 at home. But he too has been good of late, with a 2.78 ERA in his June starts. He had a rough start his last time out vs. the Cardinals where he went 6 innings and allowed 4 runs, but I think he will bounce back strong here at home. In his last 14.1 innings pitched at home (with the Rockies and Royals), he has allowed just 2 earned runs including 5 shutout innings vs. the Angels and 1 earned run over 6.2 innings vs. the Blue Jays. The Diamondbacks struggle to score runs when they are away from Chase Field. The Royals also have a pretty good bullpen if Paulino needs some help getting through the game. BET UNDER 8.5

Last picks: Pirates vs. Indians under 8 runs = WIN (5-2 final score)       Record: 6-3
                 White Sox vs. Diamondbacks under 8 runs = LOSS (8-2 final score)


Angels (Weaver) vs. Marlins (Sanchez) UNDER 6.5 RUNS

Jered Weaver has had a spectacular season so far, with his ERA sitting at 2.06. That lowers to 1.94 during his road starts. He has thrown 3 scoreless starts in his last 10. He has thrown 2 straight complete games during his last 2 road starts. He pitched a 2-hit shutout at the Twins on 5/28 and then in his last start pitched a 5-hit shutout at the Mariners, giving him an 18 inning scoreless run on the road. He also has a 1.90 ERA in his last 3 starts spanning almost 24 innings. Additionally Weaver is 5-1 with a 2.36 ERA in his last nine road interleague starts. The Marlins have lost 10 straight games and have a struggling lineup. Anibal Sanchez has a very good 3.02 ERA on the season and that rises a little bit to 3.18 at home. He has also thrown 3 scoreless starts out of his last 10. He has not lost since April 10 and he pitched the only game won this whole month by the Marlins. The posted total for this game is low, but both pitchers are very good and both lineups are about average. BET UNDER 6.5