Monday, June 27, 2011

 Last pick: Athletics vs. Phillies under 7 runs = WIN (3-1 final score)       Record: 11-3

Braves (Beachy) vs. Mariners (Bedard) UNDER 6.5

Brandon Beachy has a good 3.22 ERA on the season and a much better 1.50 ERA during his road starts. Even though he has missed a large part of the season and has started only 9 games, I still think Beachy can pitch well tonight in Seattle as he is a good strikeout pitcher. In his 9 starts, he pitched 2 scoreless starts and has allowed 2 runs or less in 6 of them. He has only pitched three road starts, but he has done very well in all of them, allowing 1,0 and 2 runs to the Brewers, Dodgers and Giants respectively pitching 6 innings in all three of those starts. Also, in his last start, which was his first start back from the disabled list, he pitched well allowing 1 run vs. the Blue Jays, so it looks like he is completely healthy and in good condition after his oblique injury. Erik Bedard has an impressive 2.93 ERA on the season and that rises a little to 3.70 during his home starts. I don't really care if his home ERA is not spectacular because Bedard is locked in right now, he has not allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 10 starts, and has allowed 2 runs or less in 9 of them. He also has pitched 4 scoreless starts out of his last 10, including one at home vs. the Angels, in his most recent home start. He has an amazing 1.00 ERA in his last 3 starts and has pitched 3 scoreless innings vs. the Braves in his career. Both pitchers are good and both lineups have struggled to score runs recently, so I look for this to be a pitcher's duel. BET UNDER 6.5

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