Thursday, June 23, 2011

Last pick: Angels vs. Marlins under 6.5 runs = WIN (2-1 final score)       Record: 7-3

Diamondbacks (Hudson) vs. Royals (Paulino) UNDER 8.5 RUNS

Daniel Hudson has a good 3.56 ERA for the season and his ERA is a little worse on the road at 4.09. These numbers might not seem too good, but Hudson has been on fire as of late. He has a 1.23 ERA in his last three starts, all appearances where he allowed one run, including his last start against the White Sox which was a complete game. He has been more consistent as of late and I think he has found his groove. Felipe Paulino has an average 4.10 ERA for the season, but that drops to a respectable 3.50 at home. But he too has been good of late, with a 2.78 ERA in his June starts. He had a rough start his last time out vs. the Cardinals where he went 6 innings and allowed 4 runs, but I think he will bounce back strong here at home. In his last 14.1 innings pitched at home (with the Rockies and Royals), he has allowed just 2 earned runs including 5 shutout innings vs. the Angels and 1 earned run over 6.2 innings vs. the Blue Jays. The Diamondbacks struggle to score runs when they are away from Chase Field. The Royals also have a pretty good bullpen if Paulino needs some help getting through the game. BET UNDER 8.5

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