Thursday, June 30, 2011

Red Sox (Lester) vs. Phillies (Hamels) UNDER 7 RUNS

Jon Lester has an average 3.66 ERA for this season, but a better 3.11 ERA when he pitches on the road. He has allowed 3 runs or less in each of his last 4 starts and has a good 2.45 ERA in his last 3 starts. I think he will be very motivated to go pitch a good game, so his team does not get swept by the Phillies today. He also has had good success against the Phillies posting a remarkable 0.64 ERA in 14 innings pitched against them. The only batter in the Phillies lineup that has hit Lester well is Ibanez who is 4-9, but other than that Ryan Howard and Chase Utley are hit less in 6 at-bats and Jimmy Rollins only has one hit in 5 at-bats. Cole Hamels has a good 2.49 ERA for the season and a 2.73 ERA during his home starts. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 9 out of his last 10 starts. He has also been good as of late, posting a 1.45 ERA in the month of June. The Red Sox have had some trouble scoring runs lately and Hamels has dominated them in the past, with a 1.71 ERA in 21 innings pitched against them. The first two games of this series had a combined 5 and 3 runs total and this one is low scoring also. BET UNDER 7

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