Friday, July 1, 2011

Last pick: Red Sox vs. Phillies under 7 runs = PUSH (5-2 final score)       Record: 13-4

Giants (Bumgarner) vs. Tigers (Penny) UNDER 8.5 RUNS

Madison Bumgarner has an average ERA of 3.84 on the season thus far, with a better 2.86 ERA during his road starts. Except from one nightmare start at home vs. the Twins where he allowed 8 runs, he has allowed 3 runs or less in his last 9 starts. He has allowed 2 runs or less in 3 out of his last 4 road starts. He is coming off a good start vs. the Indians where he allowed only 1 run in 7 innings, so he is confident coming into this start. Brad Penny has a pretty bad 4.66 ERA on the season, but I think he still comes with a strong start tonight. He has a much lower 3.28 ERA at home. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 7 out of his last 10 starts and has pitched two starts where he allowed 0 earned runs, both at home vs. the Royals and Yankees. He has been good so far vs. the National League this season, pitching 12.2 innings vs. the Dodgers and Diamondbacks and allowed only 4 runs total. Lastly, the Giants have had some trouble scoring runs lately and Penny has a 3.05 ERA against them in 115 innings pitched. BET UNDER 8.5

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