Sunday, July 10, 2011

Last pick: Twins vs. White Sox under 8.5 runs = WIN (4-3 final score)       Record: 19-9

Braves (Lowe) vs. Phillies (Hamels) UNDER 7 RUNS

Derek Lowe has an average 4.21 ERA on the season, but I still think he has a solid start in Philly today. He has allowed 3 earned runs or less in 7 out of his last 10 starts and is a good pitcher on the road. He threw a shutout in 6.2 innings in Florida and in his last road start he allowed only 1 run in 6 innings to the Mariners. But I think he does good today because he has done very well against the Phillies, in the past 10 years and this season. He has a 2.90 ERA in 102.1 innings pitched against them and pitched a combined 13 innings against them this season allowing a total of only 2 runs. In his start in Philly (like today) he went 6 innings, allowed 2 hits and no runs. In addition to this, the Phillies have had struggles throughout the season to score runs. Cole Hamels has a very good 2.40 ERA on the season and he has been consistently awesome. He has allowed 3 runs or less in each of his last 10 starts and allowed 2 runs or less in 9 of them. He has thrown 2 scoreless starts against the Red Sox and Dodgers, both at home. He has an excellent 1.80 ERA in his last 3 starts and has done fairly well against the Braves, pitching 131.2 innings with a 3.83 ERA. Like the Phillies, the Braves can have troubles scoring some runs. The last three games of this series has stayed under the posted number today and this one will make it 4 in a row. BET UNDER 7

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