Saturday, July 2, 2011

Last picks: Giants vs. Tigers under 8.5 runs = WIN (4-3 final score)       Record: 14-5
                 Indians vs. Reds under 9 runs = LOSS (8-2 final score)

Pirates (McDonald) vs. Nationals (Lannan) UNDER 8 RUNS (Game 1 of the doubleheader)

James McDonald has a pretty bad ERA of 4.52 on the season, but has done much better as of late with a 3.31 ERA in his last 3 starts. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 9 out of his last 10 starts overall and has allowed one run in 2 out of his last 4 road starts. He limited the Mets and Reds to just one run in 6 and 6.2 innings respectively. He is also coming off a start vs. the Red Sox where he allowed 0 earned runs, so he has confidence coming into this game. I look for him to have a solid start and the Pirate's bullpen should be able to pitch a few innings to close the game. John Lannan has a good 3.48 ERA on the season, but he has an excellent ERA of 1.81 in home starts this season. He has allowed 2 runs or less in 8 out of his last 10 starts overall and in each of his last 5 home starts. He has also thrown two starts where he allowed 0 earned runs at home vs. the Phillies and Padres. In his last 12.2 innings pitched at home, he has allowed only 3 earned runs vs. the Mariners and Cardinals combined, so he has been good of late, evident by his 2.95 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Nats also have a good bullpen if Lannan needs some help later in the game. BET UNDER 8

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