Saturday, July 2, 2011

Diamondbacks (Saunders) vs. Athletics (Outman) UNDER 7.5 RUNS

Joe Saunders might have a 4.14 ERA on the season but he has been much better as of late. He holds a 2.57 ERA in his last 3 starts and two of those starts came on the road, both against American League teams. He held the Tigers to just one run in 7 innings and the Royals to 2 runs in 7 innings as well. I think both the Tigers and Royals have better lineups than the A's, so Saunders should have a good start. He also has had success vs. the A's in the past having a 3.50 ERA against them in 103 innings pitched. Another thing to mention is that except for Matsui who has one hit in one at-bat vs. Saunders, the rest of the A's batters do not have an average of .300 or better against him (there are 5 different A's who have more than 10 at-bats against him, so they have seen him a lot, without too much success). Josh Outman has a good 3.10 ERA this season and while he has only started 7 games this season, I think he is a solid pitcher. He has a 2-0 record with a great 1.38 ERA at home in his only two starts there vs. the Orioles and Royals. His ERA in his last 3 starts is a spectacular 1.89 and two of those starts came on the road. The A's have also have a decent bullpen, should Outman need some help tonight. BET UNDER 7.5

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