Friday, June 17, 2011

Last picks: Marlins vs. Phillies under 7 runs = LOSS (5-4 final score)       Record: 2-2
                 Red Sox vs. Rays under 7.5 runs = WIN (3-0 final score)               

Blue Jays (Reyes) vs. Reds (Leake) UNDER 9.5 RUNS

Jo-Jo Reyes might not seem like the best pitcher to go with for an under play, but he has been relatively consistent and has decent numbers. He has a 4.30 ERA overall and a 4.28 road ERA. I think he will have a solid outing tonight because he faces tough competition almost every time he pitches against AL teams. Being in the AL East, he faces the tough lineups of the Rays, Red Sox and Yankees and has a decent ERA. The Reds have a very good hitting lineup also that matches up almost to the ones in the AL East, so I look for him to have a quality start. Mike Leake has a decent 4.06 ERA on the season, but is 2-0 with a 2.05 ERA in his last 3 starts. He had a stint in the minor leagues to work on his location and now he is doing great back in the Majors. The posted total at 9.5 is a high number and while these are not two of the best pitchers in MLB, I think they can pitch well enough to limit the total runs to less than 9. BET UNDER 9.5

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