Tuesday, June 14, 2011

Last pick: Mariners vs. Tigers under 7 runs = LOSS (7-3 final score)       Record: 1-1

Mets (Niese) vs. Braves (Jurrjens) UNDER 7 RUNS

Jonathon Niese has a 1.76 ERA in his last two starts, at the Brewers (a very good hitting team) allowing only one run in 7.2 innings and at home vs these Braves allowing two runs in 7.2 innings. In 8 of his last 10 starts, he has allowed 2 or less earned runs, which is very impressive. The Braves have Jason Heyward and Martin Prado out of the starting lineup, so the Braves offense is a little weakened. Niese also has a 2.88 ERA in 34.1 innings pitched against the Braves. Jair Jurrjens is 8-2 with a 1.82 ERA on the season, which is incredible. In 30 innings pitched at home this season, he has a 1.50 ERA. He has allowed 3 earned runs or less in all 10 of his last starts and has allowed 2 earned runs or less in 9 of them. In 77.1 innings pitched against the Mets, he has a 8-3 record with a 2.68 ERA. Bet the UNDER 7 RUNS.

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