Saturday, June 18, 2011

Padres (Stauffer) vs. Twins (Baker) UNDER 7.5 RUNS (Pick #2 for the day)

Tim Stauffer has allowed no runs in his last 15 innings against the Nationals and Rockies. He has a 3.28 ERA on the season and that increases slightly to 3.62 on the road. He has pitched 3 scoreless outings in his last 10 starts and has been fairly consistent. I think he has found his grove in his last two starts and I expect him to be solid tonight against an injury-plagued Twins lineup. The Twins have very good hitters on the disabled list that will not play tonight, like Jason Kubel, Denard Span, Jim Thome and Justin Morneau. The Padres have one of MLB's best bullpens. Scott Baker has a 3.55 ERA on the season and believe it or not, but his ERA is exactly the same at home as well. He has a solid 3.27 ERA in his last 3 starts and should have plenty of momentum coming into this start, after pitching a complete game against the power hitting Rangers, allowing only 5 hits and one run. Even though the Padres don't have very many injuries, they have struggled at times during the season to score runs and they have a relatively weak lineup. BET UNDER 7.5

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