Saturday, July 9, 2011

Last pick: A's vs. Rangers under 8.5 runs = LOSS (8-5 final score)       Record: 18-9


Twins (Duensing) vs. White Sox (Buehrle) UNDER 8.5 RUNS

Brian Duensing has a pretty bad 4.25 ERA on the season, but he has been much better as of late. He has a very good 2.18 ERA in his last 3 starts and he is a better pitcher on the road, with a 3.91 ERA. His last 6 starts have been much better, as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 5 of them. He has been very good in his last 2 road starts, pitching a combined 14.2 innings and allowing a total of 1 run against the Royals and Giants. In his last start, he pitched a complete game shutout allowing only 6 hits to the Rays, so he is coming off an excellent start with confidence. Lastly, he has a 2.50 ERA against the White Sox in 36 innings pitched against them. Mark Buehrle has a decent 3.66 ERA on the season, but he too has been slightly better as late, with a 3.26 ERA in his last 3 starts. He is a better pitcher at home, with a 2.83 ERA. He has also allowed no more than 3 runs in any of his last 10 starts. He has pitched 310.1 innings (WOW) against the Twins and has an average 4.03 ERA, but in his last start against them on 6/16 he pitched 7 innings and allowed only 1 run. The Twins are still missing some valuable bats in the line-up, as Span, Morneau, Kubel and Young are all not going to be playing this afternoon.

6 comments:

  1. Hey guys, it's been kind of a rough week or so. I started really hot and of cooled down a bit. So I will be looking though more stats and changing the way I choose games, in hope that we will get back to winning more. Thanks to everyone that has been following!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thank you. You can't always win. I think if you keep your bets as good as they are now, your're already doing bang up job.

    ReplyDelete
  3. do you think that Reds beat Brewers? what is your thinking about this game?

    ReplyDelete
  4. I bet the money line in baseball very rarely, but I looked at the pitching match-up for the Reds vs. Brewers game and I think the edge goes to the Reds. I'm not very sure about the Reds, but if I were to bet on the game, I would bet on the Reds.

    ReplyDelete
  5. thanks for your comment. by the way i bet under 8.5 for white sox game and i won. good job man!

    ReplyDelete
  6. By the way, I parlayed the White Sox under with the Reds on the money line (I decided to bet on it) and won some good money, hope u bet on it also....

    ReplyDelete